The Future is Equal

Climate Breakdown

Daring to hope for a better future: a 2040 film review

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Local solutions to global challenges.

Turn on the news on any given day, and chances are you’ll be bombarded with a stream of stories from around the world ranging from the bleak to the downright terrifying. The documentary 2040 gives us an alternative view – one where, if we play our cards right, we could dare to imagine a different future.

Through a visual letter to his young daughter, director Damon Gameau skilfully illuminates a hopeful world two decades into the future that has successfully adapted to the challenges posed by climate breakdown.

Gameau plays with the idea of innocence; relating his four-year-old daughter’s expanding world – as she grows up and her safe bubble is pierced by outside influences – to our reluctance to leave the blissful ignorance of climate inaction. As he says, it is time to leave the bubble.

According to the documentary-maker, there is plenty of reason not to fear the future. A key element of 2040’s success is that the world Gameau presents is envisioned only with technologies and solutions already invented today.

From micro-grid renewable energy in full swing in Bangladesh, to farmers switching to regenerative agricultural methods, to marine permaculture that could solve our food insecurity woes, it is an exercise in “fact-based dreaming” – and it shows that in many cases, action is being led from the ground up.

We know that climate destruction is hitting some of the poorest people in the world first and worst. At Oxfam, we regularly see examples of people displaced by rising sea levels, homes destroyed by super cyclones, and livelihoods and food sources under constant threat from more frequent and intense extreme weather events.

But it’s encouraging to see films like 2040 highlight how, in many cases, they’re also leading the charge – coming up with local solutions to global challenges, through innovation and community-focused initiatives that the rest of the world can learn from.

But is it only with the innocent naivety of a child that we can hope for an optimistic future?

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The film touches on the immense wealth and power wielded by vested interests to quell political action and maintain our status quo reliant on fossil fuel and “big agriculture”. Perhaps deliberately, it leaves blank the space where a less-hopeful notion might linger – why, if we already possess all the necessary technologies to circumvent further catastrophic damage to our planet, are we not rolling these out worldwide, with the urgency that an existential threat to our civilisation demands?

2040 leaves the question hanging – but, crucially, it also gives hope. It shows that around the world there is already a groundswell of people, from campaigners to farmers to engineers, pushing forward against the political tide. While we imagine our best 2040 scenario, others are already busy creating it. If there is one thing to take away from this film, it’s that we already have all we need to build this future. What’s clear is that the onus now lies with us, and especially our political leaders, to act.

2040 is in cinemas from 22 August 2019.

By Kelsey-Rae Taylor, Oxfam New Zealand.


Want to take action? Click here to learn how you can make a stand against climate breakdown by supporting Oxfam.

Ardern Must Meet Pacific Calls for “Prompt, Ambitious” Action on Climate Breakdown

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New Zealand has been issued a stark challenge from Pacific leaders to dramatically upscale its action to address climate breakdown, Oxfam says, after a clear rallying cry from nations at this week’s Pacific Islands Forum.

Photo: Vlad Sokhin/Oxfam

New Zealand has been issued a stark challenge from Pacific leaders to dramatically upscale its action to address climate breakdown, Oxfam says, after a clear rallying cry from nations at this week’s Pacific Islands Forum.

Oxfam New Zealand’s director of advocacy and campaigns, Dr Joanna Spratt, said Ardern was facing a critical test ahead in the context of Australia’s reckless lack of action.

“Instead of re-announcing money from our existing aid budget, the Prime Minister must listen to the voices of small island states in their calls for domestic action now, reducing our emissions with more urgency; and replenishing the Green Climate Fund.

“Supporting the islands through what we say is a start – but that should be matched by our actions. We need to significantly increase our climate finance, within a rising aid budget. A good step will be a $30mn replenishment of the Green Climate Fund, something that Pacific small island developing states and leaders at this forum have demanded.”

During the Forum, Pacific Island countries reaffirmed in the strongest possible terms – as they have done for several years – that the climate crisis is a matter of survival for them.

“We may look better than Australia, but that does not mean we are anywhere near doing our fair share. Our emissions are still going up, when they should be drastically declining in order to keep global warming below 1.5 degrees,” Dr Spratt said.

Last year, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s landmark report laid out the severe consequences of failing to limit warming to 1.5C and the scale and pace of global action necessary to achieve this goal. New Zealand is among a tiny minority of developed countries in which climate pollution is going up not down.

Spratt said there is a clear divide in this region between Australia recklessly undermining the future of the Pacific, and those who will stand up to fight – and New Zealand’s actions will show whose side we are really on.

“We’re pleased New Zealand supported leaders’ calls to stay below 1.5 degrees and the need for urgent action. Prime Minister Ardern is a strong advocate of climate action, both in our region and globally. We now need the policies and funding to match those ambitious words.”

The group of Pacific Small Island Developing States issued their own statement earlier in the week – the Tuvalu Declaration – calling on all states to take the “prompt, ambitious, successful” actions necessary to limit warming to 1.5°C and secure the future of our region: a swift and just transition from coal, strengthening current and inadequate contributions to the Paris Agreement, and achieving zero emissions before mid-century. These are all calls that were amplified by the UN Secretary General when he visited Tuvalu earlier this year, yet which were either absent or watered down in the Kainaki II Declaration, adopted by all Forum members including Australia and New Zealand.

New Zealand’s only announcement this week was to ring-fence $150m from within the existing aid program towards supporting climate change adaptation in the region.

“While such support is of course going to be welcome, our Pacific brothers and sisters have been abundantly clear – bolder action is needed, and it’s needed now, to ensure the Pacific has a future,” Dr Spratt said.

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New Zealand Facing Credibility Test on Climate Crisis and Pacific ‘Reset’: Oxfam

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New Zealand is facing a critical test of its credibility on tackling the climate crisis and its ability to remain a trusted partner to the region as Pacific Island Forum leaders prepare to meet in Tuvalu this week, Oxfam New Zealand said today.

Photo: Vlad Sokhin/Oxfam

New Zealand is facing a critical test of its credibility on tackling the climate crisis and its ability to remain a trusted partner to the region as Pacific Island Forum leaders prepare to meet in Tuvalu this week, Oxfam New Zealand said today.

Oxfam New Zealand executive director Rachael Le Mesurier said New Zealand’s progress so far showed promise but its rising emissions and glaring omissions in proposed climate policies were concerning.

“Pacific leaders, including New Zealand Prime Minister Jacinda Arden, will gather at Tuvalu, where the community is grappling with the extreme toll of climate damage – where rising seas and higher storm surges are already swallowing land and contaminating scarce water supplies, and where homes, livelihoods and the fate of an entire nation are at stake,” Le Mesurier said.

“New Zealand is among a tiny minority of developed countries in which climate pollution is going up not down. The government must go further, faster to get emissions down now while also stepping up to finance a thriving, climate-resilient future for our neighbours in the Pacific and beyond.”

Le Mesurier said this week’s leaders’ meeting was the first since the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s landmark report on limiting warming to 1.5C, which laid out the severe consequences of failing to limit warming to 1.5C and the scale and pace of global action necessary to achieve this goal, including that global emissions must be roughly halved over the next decade and reach zero before the mid-century.

“This week’s meeting also comes three months after the government published details of the proposed Zero Carbon Act, legislation that in its final form will be a key test of New Zealand’s commitment to addressing climate change.

“New Zealand must create a Zero Carbon Act that has a 2040 target for net zero emissions, covering all greenhouse gases; phase-in the full pricing of agricultural emissions much faster; and accelerate reforms of the Resource Management Act in order to be taking the climate crisis seriously.

“As well as getting our own house in order, we have a responsibility to support the resilience, resolve and leadership of those at the front lines of climate destruction – starting with a US$30 million contribution to the Green Climate Fund in the October replenishment round,” Le Mesurier said.

“Pacific island countries are tackling the grave injustice they face head on – having contributed the least to climate change, these nations are making bold national commitments, and playing a major role in international negotiations.

“If New Zealand is to remain a trusted partner with the members of the Pacific family, and with that retain the ability to help shape the region’s future, it must immediately step up its response to the number one priority of our region – the climate crisis.”

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Oxfam To Visit NZ Cities To Talk Action On Climate Breakdown

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Climate: Global challenge, local action.

Oxfam New Zealand is starting a tour around the country next week to host discussions about the impact of climate breakdown in regions from Auckland to Dunedin.

The Climate Breakdown: Global Challenge, Local Action series of events will showcase a special pre-release excerpt of the film 2040 and a panel discussion with local leaders, from student activists to council representatives, moderated by Oxfam New Zealand’s executive director Rachael Le Mesurier.

Le Mesurier said she is looking forward to listening to initiatives and ideas about how communities are working together to tackle climate breakdown, how these connect into the actions being taken in the Pacific by like-minded local communities and how they offer opportunities for our individual and collective actions.

“At Oxfam we see daily evidence of communities being dramatically affected by climate destruction, but also fighting hard to adapt to and mitigate its effects.

“It’s inspiring to see the rise in people power – protests, innovative solutions, influencing MPs, communities building climate resilience together – often being led at a grassroots level. We’re interested to hear what people think we might do more of to inspire action on a large scale.

“Climate breakdown is no longer a faraway problem. Communities in New Zealand are also being affected by rising sea levels and extreme weather. Our farming community will likely be dealing with even more intense rains, longer dry periods and higher heat, and a number of other impacts in the coming few years.

“The poorest people, wherever they may be, will continue to be hit hardest. While individual efforts are important, collective action across regions and on the international stage is even more crucial for the world to successfully prevent the worst of climate destruction.

“Oxfam works with vulnerable communities all over the world to help them increase their climate resilience, but especially in Pacific Island nations who are leading the charge against further destruction. What we see is that Kiwis have a lot in common with our Pacific neighbours. We rely on the land, we are connected to the sea, we have the wisdom of indigenous communities guiding efforts that protect our earth for future generations. We can work together to better meet this challenge.”

All are invited to participate in the events, being held in seven cities around New Zealand. Each event will include an exclusive preview of footage from innovative feature documentary 2040, by award-winning director Damon Gameau (That Sugar Film). Panellists from each region will discuss the issues facing their communities due to climate breakdown with a focus on community-led solutions and collective action within the global movement for a more sustainable future.

Find out more about an event near you and RSVP here.

Climate Breakdown: Global Challenge, Local Action dates:

Dunedin – 5 August
Christchurch – 6 August
Nelson – 8 August
Hamilton – 19 August
Tauranga – 20 August
Wellington – 27 August
Auckland – 5 September

How to Talk About Climate Change: A Toolkit for Encouraging Collective Action

This toolkit discusses effective communication strategies that inspire hope, build connections, develop understandings and encourage collective action.

For those working on achieving meaningful action about climate change, locally and internationally, effective communications can create hope, improve people’s understanding of the causes and solutions, open doors to collaboration between people, business and politicians, and motivate people to act in meaningful ways, to be agents of change. We can inspire our children, show them all that is possible when adults come together to work on understanding the problems, and building better systems for them and their children and the planet we live in partnership with.

Our communications must therefore have a sound evidential basis. We need to know they will be effective, ethical and have an impact in helpful ways. Mainstream climate communication has, to date, focussed heavily on fear, economic impacts, and led with facts. And while climate change is alarming, urgent, has significant economic repercussions, and requires people to think productively about the causes and solutions, inspiring action at the right level requires more than communicating the facts and the dangers. We need strategies grounded in the evidence of persuasive communication: the science of story.

This toolkit is to help us use strategies that inspire hope, build connections between people, open doors to people developing more productive understandings of the causes of climate change, and encourages collective action on evidence-informed solutions, across local and international settings. We have drawn on many disciplines from cognitive psychology, implementation science through to cognitive linguistics. The science of story takes us beyond repetition of the facts and framing of fears, and into the realms of storytelling with science.

PDF icon How To Talk About Climate Change – The Workshop & Oxfam NZ 2019.PDF
PDF icon Literature Review: Effective Climate Change Communications – The Workshop & Oxfam NZ 2019.PDF

Hunger is spiralling, but has fallen off the political agenda, says Oxfam

Climate crisis and conflict driving rise in hungry people.

Responding to new figures released by the United Nations Food and Agriculture Organisation (FAO) today, which show that the number of hungry people has risen for the third year in a row, mainly as a result of conflict and the climate crisis, Oxfam International’s Executive Director Winnie Byanyima said:

“Despite spiralling hunger and two global food price crises in a little over ten years, hunger has fallen off the political agenda.

“Governments need to urgently agree new strategies that tackle the key drivers of hunger – the climate crisis, conflict, and a global food system which puts narrow commercial interests ahead of the needs of hungry communities, small-scale farmers and sustainable farming.

“Governments must change agriculture policies, so they contribute to the fight against hunger. They must urgently cut greenhouse gas emissions and help farmers adapt their agriculture to the more extreme and unsettled climate. They must increase their efforts to end violent conflicts and war and make humanitarian aid available to meet the food needs of millions of people affected by crises.

“Governments must strengthen the support provided to women: they make up nearly half of food producers in development countries, but typically eat last, least and least well when households run short of food.”

Notes to editors:

  • Oxfam spokespeople are available for interviews and background.
  • Oxfam’s new report “Gender inequalities and food insecurity: 10 years after the food price crisis, why are women farmers still food insecure?” analyses the reforms implemented since the food price crises in 2007-2008 and 2010-2011, and it highlights why these reforms will not be enough to prevent another crisis or end hunger.
  • Women play a crucial role in agriculture, feeding hundreds of millions of people worldwide. Yet, they face systemic discrimination – for instance when it comes to the right to own land or access to credit. Moreover, the FAO has repeatedly highlighted that women are more likely to go hungry than men. They are also disproportionately affected by climate change, conflict and displacement.
  • In a first food price crisis, the price of food commodities rose by 83% between early 2007 and May 2008. A similar spike in food prices happened again between 2010 and 2011. These spikes were driven by a range of factors, including food price speculation, increased global demand for biofuels, decreasing food stocks, the diversion of food for livestock, and extreme weather events linked to climate change. Structural problems which also contributed to the spike in food prices include the liberalization of agricultural trade, the concentration of distribution and input supply in the hands of a few corporations, the marginalization of smallholder farmers, declining public investment in agriculture and decreasing development aid to small-holder agriculture.
  • In a 2008 report, the World Bank states that growth in small-scale agriculture is two to four times more effective at reducing in hunger and poverty than growth in any other sector.